M3BOTHWR ≥50% BO fail

Trading Range 识别

市场先大涨再大跌(或反之),双方都没控制权,价格在区间内反复震荡。TR 是磁铁,至少 50% 概率任何突破会失败。

M3 Trading Range
Win Rate
≥50% BO fail
Training Examples
0
Direction
BOTH

Reference Chart

Trading Range 识别 reference chart

‘2d Leg Trap Down: Failed, Got Trend Resumption Down | Yesterday’s H | H of yesterday | 2°¢ Leg Bear Trap

Entry / Stop Loss / Take Profit

Entry: 突破方向入场
SL
TP (2:1)

Setup Conditions

Big Up + Big Down = Big Confusion → TR 最可能
2nd Leg Bull/Bear Trap 出现 = 强烈 TR 信号
K线大量重叠,突破频繁失败
Lower Highs + Lower Lows 也可以是 TR:弱 Bear Channel 本质上是 TR
Major Bear/Bull Surprise 后出现 Trap → TR Day
开盘前 9 根 bar 都有大影线、没有好的 stop entry 信号 bar → TR Day

Probability Note

TR 是磁铁,至少 50% 概率任何突破会失败并把价格拉回区间

Case Study

Textbook Setup
WR ≥50% BO failstop · R:R 2:1
Entry
101.0
Stop Loss
93.0
Take Profit
109.0
Actual R:R
1:1.0
SetupBig Up + Big Down = Big Confusion → TR 最可能
Entry突破方向入场
Exit风险回报 2:1 目标
Risk: 8.0Reward: 8.0

Related Patterns

All Patterns in M3