M3SHORTWR 60%
Bear Breakout from Trading Range
向下突破 TR，60% 概率 Measured Move down。需要连续大阴 bar + follow-through 确认。
M3 Trading Range
Win Rate
60%
Training Examples
158
Direction
SHORT
Reference Chart
‘Bear Leg in TR: Bear BO | Consecutive bear bars closing near their lows | Always In ...
Entry / Stop Loss / Take Profit
Entry: Strong BO 确认后做空，至少预期小的 2nd leg down
SL
TP (2:1)
Setup Conditions
Valid Bear BO：连续大同向阴线，至少一根收盘靠近低点 = Strong BO
Follow-through bar 确认：跟随 bar 不能有 bull body
Entry Rules
Strong BO 确认后做空，至少预期小的 2nd leg down
Exit Rules
目标：Measured Move = TR 高度向下投影
Probability Note
Bear BO below TR → 60% 概率 Measured Move down
Case Study
Textbook Setup
WR 60%stop · R:R 2:1
Entry
98.0
Stop Loss
103.0
Take Profit
88.0
Actual R:R
1:2.0
SetupValid Bear BO：连续大同向阴线，至少一根收盘靠近低点 = Strong BO
EntryStrong BO 确认后做空，至少预期小的 2nd leg down
Exit目标：Measured Move = TR 高度向下投影
Risk: 5.0Reward: 10.0
Related Patterns
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