M3LONGWR ≥50%
2nd Leg Bear Trap (Failed Bear Breakout)
Surprisingly big BO below Wedge bottom → 2nd leg down 只有 1 bar → 反转上涨。50% pullback 处反转 = 2nd Leg Bear Trap。
M3 Trading Range
Win Rate
≥50%
Training Examples
406
Direction
LONG
Reference Chart
2"¢ Leg Bear Trap: Test of 50% Pullback ) @ Brooks2018 | Consecutive bear bars breaking below Micro Wedge | Reversed up at 50% pullback from Small Pullback Bull Trend | Failed bear
Entry / Stop Loss / Take Profit
Entry: 向下突破失败后的弱阴线信号棒高点上方买入
SL
TP (2:1)
Setup Conditions
Surprisingly big Bear BO below Wedge bottom 或 TR 下方
2nd leg down 只有 1 bar 或极小（力度耗尽）
50% pullback 处出现反转 = 2nd Leg Bear Trap
Entry Rules
B above High 2 (Micro LL DB) 或 HL DB
Failed BO below HL 和 bull trend line → Bear Trap → Buy above bull bars reversing up from EMA
Exit Rules
目标回到 TR 中部或上方
Stop 放在 BO 极值（2nd leg low）之外
Probability Note
TR 中 BO 失败概率 ≥50%；Bear Trap 反转上涨概率高
Case Study
Textbook Setup
WR ≥50%stop · R:R 2:1
Entry
99.0
Stop Loss
94.0
Take Profit
109.0
Actual R:R
1:2.0
Setup向下强势突破后，二次下探只有一腿即失败。
Entry向下突破失败后的弱阴线信号棒高点上方买入
ExitBear Trap 更容易反转回到 TR 中部
Risk: 5.0Reward: 10.0
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